CONCACAF Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg

Apr 26, 2023 at 3am UK

Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León

Tigres
2 - 1
Club Leon

(Club Leon win 4-3 on aggregate)

Cordova (45'), Quinones (45+3')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Davila (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Champions League clash between Tigres and Club Leon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tigres

All competitions

Last Game: Tigres 1-0 Puebla
Friday, April 21 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Top scorers

Club Leon

All competitions

Last Game: Tijuana 0-0 Club Leon
Saturday, April 22 at 4.05am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 58.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Club Leon had a probability of 18.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Club Leon win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.

Result
Tigres	Draw	Club Leon
58.04% ( 0.16)	23.19% ( -0.06)	18.78% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 49.14% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.86% (

0.12)

50.13% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.9% (

0.11)

72.1% (

-0.11)

Tigres Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.99% (

0.1)

17% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.87% (

0.18)

47.13% (

-0.18)

Club Leon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.21% (

-0.04)

40.79% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.63% (

-0.04)

77.37% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Tigres 58.02%

Club Leon 18.78%

Draw 23.18%

Tigres	Draw	Club Leon
1-0 @ 12.28% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 58.02%	1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.18%	0-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 18.78%