Liga MX | Gameweek 16
Apr 23, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Díez

Toluca
1 - 1
Juarez

Volpi (45+4' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Chavez (69')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Juarez.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Pumas 3-1 Toluca
Sunday, April 16 at 7pm in Liga MX

Juarez

All competitions
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 2-0 Juarez
Friday, April 14 at 4.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 61.33%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 18.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Juarez win it was 1-2 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
TolucaDrawJuarez
61.33% (0.481 0.48)20.54% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)18.12% (-0.431 -0.43)
Both teams to score 56.58% (-0.666 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.34% (-0.48 -0.48)39.66% (0.48099999999999 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.99% (-0.502 -0.5)62.01% (0.503 0.5)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.53% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)12.47% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.56% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)38.44% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.64% (-0.752 -0.75)35.36% (0.752 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.88% (-0.79 -0.79)72.12% (0.78999999999999 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 61.33%
    Juarez 18.12%
    Draw 20.54%
TolucaDrawJuarez
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.56% (0.204 0.2)
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.2 0.2)
3-1 @ 6.89% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 6.63% (0.138 0.14)
4-1 @ 3.59%
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.45% (0.07 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.49%
5-0 @ 1.44% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 61.33%
1-1 @ 9.54% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.41% (0.098 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.54%
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-1 @ 4.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.38% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 18.12%

Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 6pm
Toluca
3-0
Juarez
Sanvezzo (23'), Gonzalez (46'), Ruiz (90+2')

Nevarez (20')
Jul 30, 2022 3.05am
gameweek 6
Juarez
1-1
Toluca
Olivera (88')
Lainez (35'), Medina (69'), Rolan (90+5')
Meneses (90+2')
Ortega (40'), Rodriguez (68'), Meneses (89'), Navarro (90+6')
Saucedo (90+8')
Apr 20, 2022 3am
gameweek 15
Toluca
0-1
Juarez

Castaneda (19'), Baeza (59'), Ortega (75')
Fernandez (90+5')
Garcia (66')
Jul 24, 2021 3am
gameweek 1
Juarez
1-3
Toluca
Galvan (35')
Armoa (27')
Ortega (6'), Sambueza (63' pen.), Canelo (89')
Alejandro Rodriguez Hernandez (83')
May 1, 2021 3.30am
gameweek 15
Juarez
1-0
Toluca
Galvan (60')
Garcia (8'), Santos (45'), Fabian (66'), Garcia (90'), Rosel (90+4')

Sambueza (34')
rhs 2.0


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