Liga MX Gameweek 15
Apr 16, 2023 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Estadio Olímpico de Universitario
  • Juan Dinenno 1' goal
  • Cesar Huerta 38' goal
  • Eduardo Salvio 44' goal
  • goal Carlos Gonzalez 31'

Pumas vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pumas

All competitions
Last game
Apr 9, 2023 7.00pm
Pumas 3 - 1 Atletico San Luis
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Juan Dinenno

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Apr 8, 2023 2.05am
Puebla 1 - 2 Toluca
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Carlos Gonzalez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Pumas win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result

Pumas 36.72% (+0.21)
Draw 25.37% (-0.02)
Toluca 37.92% (-0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.44% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.65% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 47.35% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 30.43% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 69.57% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 14.97% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 85.03% (-0.06)

Pumas Goals

Over 0.5 74.8% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 25.2% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 40.07% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 59.93% (-0.21)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 75.46% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 24.54% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 40.98% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 59.02% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Pumas 36.72%
Draw 25.36%
Toluca 37.92%
Pumas
1-0 @ 8.53% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.25% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.88% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.79% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.7% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.66% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.31% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 36.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.8% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
Toluca
0-1 @ 8.69% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 8.41% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.1% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.94% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 37.92%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 14
Sep 11, 2022 3.05am
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jean Meneses 65' goal
  • Jean Meneses 77' goal
  • goal Juan Dinenno 36'
  • goal Julio Jose Gonzalez 90'+6'
Liga MX Gameweek 1
Jan 11, 2022 3.00am
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Olímpico de Universitario
  • Rogerio 31' goal
  • Diogo 59' yellowcard
  • Diogo 61' goal
  • Rogerio 64' goal
  • Jorge Ruvalcaba 69' goal
  • Arturo Ortiz 75' yellowcard
  • Alfredo Talavera 77' yellowcard
  • Higor Meritao 81' goal
  • Higor Meritao 81' goal
  • yellowcard Jorge Rodriguez 38'
  • yellowcard Brandon Sartiaguin 53'
Liga MX
Nov 21, 2021 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Rubens Sambueza 2' yellowcard
  • Michael Estrada 23' yellowcard
  • Haret Ortega 62' goal
  • Luis Garcia 83' yellowcard
  • Diego Chavez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Leonel Lopez 16'
  • yellowcard Diogo 21'
  • yellowcard Leonel Lopez 31'
  • yellowcard Erik Lira 34'
  • goal Juan Dinenno 50'
  • yellowcard Juan Dinenno 82'
  • yellowcard Arturo Ortiz 85'
  • yellowcard Washington Corozo 90'+8'
Liga MX Gameweek 7
Aug 29, 2021 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Raul Lopez 15' yellowcard
  • Rubens Sambueza 20' goal
  • Diego Rigonato Rodrigues 68' yellowcard
  • Alexis Canelo 70' goal
  • Alexis Canelo 72' yellowcard
  • Luis Garcia 83' yellowcard
  • goal Juan Dinenno 8'
  • redcard Alan Mozo 15'
  • yellowcard Angel Garcia Hernandez 56'
  • yellowcard Leonel Lopez 56'
  • redcard Angel Garcia Hernandez 75'
  • redcard Juan Dinenno 90'+7'
Liga MX Gameweek 6
Feb 14, 2021 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Miguel Barbieri 46' yellowcard
  • Alexis Canelo 88' goal
  • yellowcard Fabio Alvarez 41'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Torres 55'
  • yellowcard Johan Vasquez 90'+2'
Liga MX Gameweek 14
Oct 18, 2020 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alan Mozo 25' yellowcard
  • Luis Garcia 75' goal
  • yellowcard Michael Estrada 51'
  • yellowcard Gaston Sauro 65'
  • yellowcard Haret Ortega 70'