Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Mar 12, 2023 at 1.05am UK
Estadio Azteca

Cruz Azul
1 - 0
Pumas

Escoboza (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Pumas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruz Azul

All competitions
Last Game: Mazatlan 3-1 Cruz Azul
Saturday, March 4 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Pumas

All competitions
Last Game: Pumas 2-4 Puebla
Sunday, March 5 at 6pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Pumas win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawPumas
44.21% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)24.74% (0.032 0.03)31.05% (0.202 0.2)
Both teams to score 57.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.19% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)45.81% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.87% (-0.044 -0.04)68.13% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.21% (-0.123 -0.12)20.79% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.55% (-0.195 -0.2)53.45% (0.195 0.2)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.12% (0.10899999999999 0.11)27.88% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.51% (0.138 0.14)63.49% (-0.139 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 44.21%
    Pumas 31.05%
    Draw 24.73%
Cruz AzulDrawPumas
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.15% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.74% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 44.21%
1-1 @ 11.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 5.8% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.73%
1-2 @ 7.43% (0.032 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.4% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.16% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 31.05%

Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 11pm
Pumas
1-2
Cruz Azul
Diogo (65')
(84')
Huescas (26'), Carneiro (45')
Mar 13, 2022 1am
Cruz Azul
2-1
Pumas
Rivero (29'), Escobar (70')
Aguilar (84'), Rivero (90+2'), Romero (90+2')
Alvarez (30')
Mozo (48'), Alvarez (90+1')
Lillini (72')
Nov 7, 2021 11pm
Pumas
4-3
Cruz Azul
Ortiz (6'), Alvarez (46'), Diogo (62', 84')
Rodriguez (34')
Alvarado (12', 21', 44')
Aguilar (52')
Mar 8, 2021 3am
Pumas
0-1
Cruz Azul

Alvarez (54'), Vasquez (90+2')
Rodriguez (90+3' pen.)
Romo (48'), Alvarado (65')
Dec 7, 2020 12.30am
Pumas
4-0
Cruz Azul
Dinenno (2', 38'), Gonzalez Espinola (40'), Vigon (89')
Iturbe (65'), Vigon (68')

Alvarado (29')