Liga MX | Gameweek 12
Mar 19, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Olímpico de Universitario

Pumas
0 - 2
Pachuca

FT(HT: 0-0)
Castillo (55'), Isais (79')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pumas and Pachuca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pumas

All competitions
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-0 Pumas
Sunday, March 12 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Pachuca

All competitions
Last Game: Pachuca 1-2 Monterrey
Monday, March 13 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Pumas win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.

Result
PumasDrawPachuca
36.4% (0.225 0.23)26.26% (0.094000000000001 0.09)37.34% (-0.321 -0.32)
Both teams to score 53.35% (-0.313 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.7% (-0.40199999999999 -0.4)51.29% (0.40199999999999 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.87% (-0.353 -0.35)73.12% (0.351 0.35)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.77% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)27.23% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.35% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)62.65% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31% (-0.369 -0.37)26.69% (0.37 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06% (-0.489 -0.49)61.94% (0.49 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Pumas 36.4%
    Pachuca 37.34%
    Draw 26.25%
PumasDrawPachuca
1-0 @ 9.45% (0.136 0.14)
2-1 @ 8.12% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.15% (0.078 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.67% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 36.4%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.27% (0.116 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 9.6% (0.054 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.25% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.34% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.79% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 37.34%

Head to Head
Jul 25, 2022 1am
Pachuca
0-0
Pumas

Tapias (55')
Chavez (90+10')

Freire (5'), Meritao (37'), Jose Gonzalez (90+6')
Aldrete (85')
May 1, 2022 6pm
Pumas
2-0
Pachuca
Dinenno (65', 70')
Corozo (3'), Meritao (45'), Ruvalcaba (67')

Aceves (83'), Trindade (86')
Oct 31, 2021 1.06am
Pachuca
1-1
Pumas
Moreno (88' pen.)
Corozo (28')
Apr 4, 2021 6pm
Pumas
2-2
Pachuca
Saucedo (90'), Dinenno (90+3' pen.)
Lira (90+4')
Sosa (35'), Sanchez (74')
Nurse (27'), Pardo (38'), Alvarez (44'), Angel Herrera (50')
Nov 29, 2020 6pm
Pumas
0-0
Pachuca

Mozo (26')
rhs 2.0


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