Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Pumas win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.