Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Apr 14, 2023 at 4.05am UK
Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez

Atletico San Luis
2 - 0
Juarez

Bilbao (45+1'), Vitinho (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atletico San Luis and Juarez.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico San Luis

All competitions
Last Game: Pumas 3-1 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, April 9 at 7pm in Liga MX

Juarez

All competitions
Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Atlas
Monday, April 10 at 3.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico San Luis win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Juarez win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico San Luis would win this match.

Result
Atletico San LuisDrawJuarez
44.76% (-0.282 -0.28)26.17% (0.17 0.17)29.07% (0.11 0.11)
Both teams to score 51.4% (-0.449 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.22% (-0.615 -0.62)52.77% (0.614 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.59% (-0.528 -0.53)74.4% (0.527 0.53)
Atletico San Luis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.51% (-0.399 -0.4)23.49% (0.397 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.48% (-0.581 -0.58)57.51% (0.579 0.58)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.18% (-0.236 -0.24)32.81% (0.234 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.62% (-0.265 -0.27)69.38% (0.26300000000001 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Atletico San Luis 44.75%
    Juarez 29.07%
    Draw 26.17%
Atletico San LuisDrawJuarez
1-0 @ 11.16% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.09% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 44.75%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.71% (0.185 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.17%
0-1 @ 8.59% (0.152 0.15)
1-2 @ 6.93% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 4.79% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.07%

How you voted: Atletico San Luis vs Juarez

Atletico San Luis
40.0%
Draw
40.0%
Juarez
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 4, 2022 2am
Juarez
1-1
Atletico San Luis
Medina (57')
Salcedo (32'), Talavera (33'), Garcia (75')
Merino (21' pen.)
Guemez (14')
Jan 21, 2022 3am
Atletico San Luis
0-1
Juarez

Manuel Sanabria (2'), Waller (45'), Bilbao (80')
Guemez (45+5')
Leite (82' pen.)
Ramirez (47'), Esquivel (69'), Olivera (90+4')
Sep 22, 2021 3am
Juarez
1-0
Atletico San Luis
Rolan (35' pen.)
Intriago (58')
Velazquez (70')

Waller (18'), Manuel Sanabria (83'), Barovero (90'), Chavez (90+2')
Apr 10, 2021 3.30am
Juarez
2-1
Atletico San Luis
Lezcano (34' pen.), Contreras (63')
Garcia (44'), Vazquez Mellado (73'), Contreras (87')
Ibanez (73' pen.)
Escalante (19'), Werner (90+5')
Jul 28, 2020 12am
Atletico San Luis
1-1
Juarez

Escalante (20'), Antonio Castro (90+4')

Velazquez (29'), Romo (49')