Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Mar 13, 2023 at 3.15am UK
Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez

Juarez
1 - 1
Necaxa

Molina (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mendez (52')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Juarez and Necaxa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juarez

All competitions
Last Game: Monterrey 3-0 Juarez
Sunday, March 5 at 1.10am in Liga MX

Necaxa

All competitions
Last Game: Necaxa 0-1 Tigres
Saturday, March 4 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 48.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 25.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
JuarezDrawNecaxa
48.07% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)26.57% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)25.36% (0.095000000000002 0.1)
Both teams to score 47.57% (0.112 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.55% (0.101 0.1)56.45% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.55% (0.081 0.08)77.45% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.48% (0.0040000000000049 0)23.52% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.44% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)57.56% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.2% (0.141 0.14)37.8% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.42% (0.135 0.13)74.57% (-0.137 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Juarez 48.06%
    Necaxa 25.36%
    Draw 26.56%
JuarezDrawNecaxa
1-0 @ 12.86% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.31% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.06% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 4.49% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 48.06%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 8.89% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 8.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.09% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.21% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.98% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 25.36%

Head to Head
Jul 23, 2022 3.05am
Necaxa
1-0
Juarez
Batista (36')
Mendez (21'), Gimenez (43'), Esquivel (59'), Poggi (90+1'), Malagon (90+5')
Mendez (72')

Acosta (45+1'), Salas (70')
Acosta (80')
Jan 8, 2022 1am
Juarez
2-1
Necaxa
Rolan (2', 57')
Alvarado (18'), Acosta (63'), Gomez (83'), Esquivel (90+3'), Garcia (90+6'), Olivera (90+9')
Alvarado (47' og.)
Zendejas (23'), Villalpando (35'), Malagon (48'), Oliveros (90+10')
Malagon (50')
Aug 23, 2021 1am
Necaxa
1-0
Juarez
Arcadio Garcia Banuelos (84')
Mar 20, 2021 1am
Necaxa
1-0
Juarez
Gonzalez (90+3')
Pereira (53'), Salas (66')

Marin (36'), Pavez (67'), Velazquez (75'), Rubio (84')
Aug 1, 2020 3.30am
Juarez
1-0
Necaxa
Castillo (60')