Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 48.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 25.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.