MX23RW : Tuesday, April 30 02:40:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Jul 9, 2023 at 12.50am UK
Estadio Azteca

Cruz Azul
0 - 2
Toluca


Cambindo (52'), Rivero (53'), Jimenez (83'), Rotondi (90+3')
Jurado (39')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Volpi (37' pen.), Dominguez (90+2')
Huerta (29'), Lopez (29'), Dominguez (57'), Araujo (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Toluca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruz Azul

All competitions
Last Game: Atlas 2-0 Cruz Azul
Sunday, July 2 at 4.10am in Liga MX

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Toluca 0-0 Necaxa
Sunday, July 2 at 7pm in Liga MX

We said: Cruz Azul 2-1 Toluca

 Having both failed to win their opening games of the season, Cruz Azul and Toluca will head into the weekend in search of a morale-boosting result and this makes for an exciting watch. Los Celestes' home advantage makes them slight favourites and we fancy them to pick up all three points, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawToluca
41.61% (0.0039999999999978 0) 24.83% (0.052 0.05) 33.55% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 57.79% (-0.192 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.62% (-0.244 -0.24)45.38% (0.242 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.28% (-0.234 -0.23)67.72% (0.233 0.23)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.2% (-0.102 -0.1)21.8% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.99% (-0.155 -0.16)55.01% (0.154 0.15)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9% (-0.152 -0.15)26.1% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.84% (-0.203 -0.2)61.16% (0.20099999999999 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 41.62%
    Toluca 33.55%
    Draw 24.83%
Cruz AzulDrawToluca
2-1 @ 8.87%
1-0 @ 8.67% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.6% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.35% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 41.62%
1-1 @ 11.64% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.059 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 7.82% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.64% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 33.55%

Head to Head
Feb 12, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 6
Toluca
3-1
Cruz Azul
Araujo (32', 54'), Saucedo (87')
Rotondi (28')
Aug 14, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 8
Cruz Azul
2-3
Toluca
Funes Mori (18'), Huescas (81')
Carneiro (69'), Baca (90+1'), Rivero (90+1'), Uriel (90+2')
Jurado (90+1')
Meneses (30'), Ruiz (43'), Sanvezzo (90+5' pen.)
Huerta (44'), Volpi (62')
Feb 21, 2022 12.05am
Gameweek 6
Toluca
1-4
Cruz Azul
Rodriguez (5'), Baeza (40'), Garcia (53')
Lira (13'), Rodriguez (24'), Escobar (57'), Mayorga (75')
Aug 15, 2021 3am
Gameweek 4
Cruz Azul
4-0
Toluca
Martinez (38'), Alvarado (77')
Ortega (37'), Baeza (76'), Torres (88')
Ortega (39')
May 16, 2021 2.05am
Cruz Azul
3-1
Toluca
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Club AmericaAmerica17124137142340
2MonterreyMonterrey17103427151233
3Tigres1786332181430
4PumasPumas178452718928
5CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara178362222027
6Atletico San Luis177283126523
7Club TijuanaTijuana177282423123
8Club Leon176562322123
9Santos LagunaSantos Laguna177283134-323
10MazatlanMazatlan176472527-222
11PueblaPuebla176472126-522
12PachucaPachuca175751627-1122
13TolucaToluca175662319421
14QueretaroQueretaro175481829-1119
15Juarez175392434-1018
16Cruz AzulCruz Azul1752102129-817
17Atlas174581424-1017
18NecaxaNecaxa173681827-915
> Liga MX Full Table


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