Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Jul 9, 2023 at 12.50am UK
Estadio Azteca

Cruz Azul
0 - 2
Toluca

FT(HT: 0-2)
Volpi (37' pen., 37' pen.), Dominguez (90+2', 90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Toluca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruz Azul

All competitions
Last Game: Atlas 2-0 Cruz Azul
Sunday, July 2 at 4.10am in Liga MX

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Toluca 0-0 Necaxa
Sunday, July 2 at 7pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawToluca
41.61% (0.0039999999999978 0)24.83% (0.052 0.05)33.55% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 57.79% (-0.192 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.62% (-0.244 -0.24)45.38% (0.242 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.28% (-0.234 -0.23)67.72% (0.233 0.23)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.2% (-0.102 -0.1)21.8% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.99% (-0.155 -0.16)55.01% (0.154 0.15)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9% (-0.152 -0.15)26.1% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.84% (-0.203 -0.2)61.16% (0.20099999999999 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 41.62%
    Toluca 33.55%
    Draw 24.83%
Cruz AzulDrawToluca
2-1 @ 8.87%
1-0 @ 8.67% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.6% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.35% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 41.62%
1-1 @ 11.64% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.059 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 7.82% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.64% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 33.55%

Head to Head
Feb 12, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 6
Toluca
3-1
Cruz Azul
Araujo (32', 54'), Saucedo (87')
Rotondi (28')
Aug 14, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 8
Cruz Azul
2-3
Toluca
Funes Mori (18'), Huescas (81')
Carneiro (69'), Baca (90+1'), Rivero (90+1'), Uriel (90+2')
Jurado (90+1')
Meneses (30'), Ruiz (43'), Sanvezzo (90+5' pen.)
Huerta (44'), Volpi (62')
Feb 21, 2022 12.05am
Gameweek 6
Toluca
1-4
Cruz Azul
Rodriguez (5'), Baeza (40'), Garcia (53')
Lira (13'), Rodriguez (24'), Escobar (57'), Mayorga (75')
Aug 15, 2021 3am
Gameweek 4
Cruz Azul
4-0
Toluca
Martinez (38'), Alvarado (77')
Ortega (37'), Baeza (76'), Torres (88')
Ortega (39')
May 16, 2021 2.05am
Cruz Azul
3-1
Toluca