Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.