Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Mar 30, 2023 at 4.05am UK
Estadio La Corregidora

Queretaro
2 - 2
Cruz Azul

Eduardo Fernandez Inzunza (57'), Barbieri (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Escoboza (42'), Lotti (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Liga MX clash between Queretaro and Cruz Azul, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queretaro

All competitions
Last Game: Queretaro 2-2 Juarez
Monday, March 20 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Cruz Azul

All competitions
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-0 Atletico San Luis
Saturday, March 18 at 11pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queretaro win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
QueretaroDrawCruz Azul
37.29% (1.044 1.04)26.75% (0.041999999999998 0.04)35.96% (-1.087 -1.09)
Both teams to score 51.72% (-0.146 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.64% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)53.35% (0.179 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.1% (-0.151 -0.15)74.89% (0.15000000000001 0.15)
Queretaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.31% (0.53099999999999 0.53)27.69% (-0.532 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.75% (0.67599999999999 0.68)63.24% (-0.677 -0.68)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.52% (-0.733 -0.73)28.48% (0.733 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.75% (-0.92899999999999 -0.93)64.25% (0.928 0.93)
Score Analysis
    Queretaro 37.29%
    Cruz Azul 35.96%
    Draw 26.74%
QueretaroDrawCruz Azul
1-0 @ 10.12% (0.215 0.22)
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.132 0.13)
2-0 @ 6.5% (0.236 0.24)
3-1 @ 3.5% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.78% (0.14 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 37.29%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.88% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 9.9% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.22% (-0.216 -0.22)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.96%

How you voted: Queretaro vs Cruz Azul

Queretaro
17.4%
Draw
8.7%
Cruz Azul
73.9%
23
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 11pm
Cruz Azul
2-1
Queretaro
Rotondi (33'), Tabo (83')
Estrada (26'), Carneiro (54'), Rotondi (60'), (81'), (90')
Morales (56')
Aboagye (78')
Sequeira (31'), Aguerre (90+3')
Apr 22, 2022 3am
Queretaro
0-1
Cruz Azul
Aguilar (74')
Tabo (58')
Sep 20, 2021 1am
Cruz Azul
2-0
Queretaro
Angulo (42'), Martinez (90+1' pen.)
Martinez (88')
Jan 31, 2021 3am
Cruz Azul
4-1
Queretaro
Aldrete (23'), Pineda (37'), Rodriguez (45'), Hernandez (74')
Sepulveda (42')
Ramirez (68'), Pablo Meza (76')
Aug 12, 2020 11pm
Queretaro
1-0
Cruz Azul
Ramirez (29')
Vera (83')

Aldrete (37'), Rodriguez (45+3')