Liga MX | Gameweek 16

Apr 23, 2023 at 2.05am UK

Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
2 - 1
Cruz Azul

Alfonso Guzman Guzman (53'), Cisneros (75')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Uriel (37')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Cruz Azul.

Form, Standings, Stats

CD Guadalajara

All competitions

Last Game: Club Leon 0-2 Guadalajara
Sunday, April 16 at 2.05am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Cruz Azul

All competitions

Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-3 America
Sunday, April 16 at 4.10am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
CD Guadalajara	Draw	Cruz Azul
47.84% ( 0.01)	25.07% ( -0.05)	27.09% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 53.46% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.55% (

0.26)

49.45% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.51% (

0.24)

71.49% (

-0.23)

CD Guadalajara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.3% (

0.11)

20.7% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.7% (

0.17)

53.3% (

-0.17)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.41% (

0.18)

32.58% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.88% (

0.2)

69.12% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

CD Guadalajara 47.83%

Cruz Azul 27.09%

Draw 25.07%

CD Guadalajara	Draw	Cruz Azul
1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.39% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 47.83%	1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.07%	0-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 27.09%