Liga MX | Gameweek 5

Aug 23, 2023 at 4.06am UK

Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez

Juarez
4 - 1
Pumas

Ormeno (12' pen., 12' pen.), Campillo Del Campo (33', 33'), Garcia (39', 39'), Hurtado (81' pen., 81' pen.)
Salas (30'), Salas (30'), Rodriguez (36'), Rodriguez (36'), Talavera (58'), Talavera (58'), Nevarez (90+5'), Nevarez (90+5')

FT(HT: 6-0)

Huerta (57', 57')
Aldrete (24'), Aldrete (24'), Alfonso Monroy Reyes (28'), Alfonso Monroy Reyes (28')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Juarez and Pumas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juarez

All competitions

Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Guadalajara
Saturday, August 19 at 4.10am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Pumas

All competitions

Last Game: Pumas 1-1 Toluca
Saturday, August 19 at 4am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Pumas win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juarez would win this match.

Result
Juarez	Draw	Pumas
38.25% ( -0.62)	25.83% ( -0.1)	35.91% ( 0.71)

Both teams to score 54.76% (

0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.52% (

0.51)

49.47% (

-0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.48% (

0.45)

71.51% (

-0.46)

Juarez Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.66% (

-0.1)

25.33% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.88% (

-0.14)

60.11% (

0.13)

Pumas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.34% (

0.66)

26.65% (

-0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.1% (

0.87)

61.89% (

-0.88)

Score Analysis

Juarez 38.25%

Pumas 35.91%

Draw 25.82%

Juarez	Draw	Pumas
1-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.25%	1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.82%	0-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.17% Total : 35.91%