Liga MX | Gameweek 17
Apr 30, 2023 at 2.05am UK
Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Monterrey
4 - 1
Pumas

Gonzalez (2'), Funes Mori (17' pen., 22', 27')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Del Prete (45')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Pumas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monterrey

All competitions
Last Game: Mazatlan 0-2 Monterrey
Saturday, April 22 at 2.05am in Liga MX

Pumas

All competitions
Last Game: America 1-1 Pumas
Sunday, April 23 at 4.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 67.61%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 13.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Pumas win it was 1-2 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
MonterreyDrawPumas
67.61% (0.474 0.47)18.61% (-0.202 -0.2)13.77% (-0.271 -0.27)
Both teams to score 53.05% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.69% (0.333 0.33)39.3% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.36% (0.348 0.35)61.64% (-0.347 -0.35)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.31% (0.214 0.21)10.68% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.42% (0.477 0.48)34.58% (-0.477 -0.48)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.4% (-0.173 -0.17)40.6% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.8% (-0.157 -0.16)77.19% (0.15599999999999 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Monterrey 67.6%
    Pumas 13.78%
    Draw 18.61%
MonterreyDrawPumas
2-0 @ 10.84% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.7% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 8.09% (0.09 0.09)
3-1 @ 7.29% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
4-0 @ 4.52% (0.09 0.09)
4-1 @ 4.08% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.02% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.84% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.82% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 4.34%
Total : 67.6%
1-1 @ 8.74% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.34% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 18.61%
1-2 @ 3.94% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-1 @ 3.91% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 1.76% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.18% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 13.78%

Head to Head
Jul 31, 2022 6pm
gameweek 6
Pumas
1-1
Monterrey
Rodriguez (44')
Lopez (20')
Freire (45+3' og.)
Moreno (19'), Meza (81'), Funes Mori (89'), Romo (90'), Medina (90+4'), Aguirre (90+5')
Apr 17, 2022 6pm
gameweek 14
Pumas
2-0
Monterrey
Corozo (90+1', 90+4')
Mozo (45+5'), Diogo (75'), Corozo (90+2')
Dinenno (45+5')

Campbell (56')
Aug 1, 2021 3am
gameweek 2
Monterrey
2-0
Pumas
Vergara (3', 53')

Mozo (33'), Moreno (46'), Torres (65')
Feb 7, 2021 3.06am
gameweek 5
Monterrey
1-0
Pumas
Loba (31')
Kranevitter (66')

Mozo (37')
Aug 13, 2020 3am
gameweek 4
Pumas
1-1
Monterrey
Dinenno (43' pen.)
Garcia (53'), Talavera (62'), Freire (66'), Vasquez (72')
Sanchez (62' pen.)
Pabon (45+2'), Janssen (72'), Medina (90+2')