Liga MX | Gameweek 13
Apr 2, 2023 at 2.15am UK
Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Monterrey
4 - 0
Tijuana

Aguirre (5', 22'), Berterame (32', 76')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Club Tijuana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tigres 0-1 Monterrey
Sunday, March 19 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 3-3 Toluca
Saturday, March 18 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 75.37%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 8.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.66%) and 3-0 (11.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.7%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
MonterreyDrawClub Tijuana
75.37% (0.19199999999999 0.19)16.37% (-0.1 -0.1)8.25% (-0.087900000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 40.92% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.22% (0.151 0.15)44.78% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.86% (0.146 0.15)67.14% (-0.143 -0.14)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.81% (0.090000000000003 0.09)10.19% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.55% (0.2 0.2)33.45% (-0.198 -0.2)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.56% (-0.113 -0.11)54.44% (0.115 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.46% (-0.067 -0.07)87.54% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Monterrey 75.36%
    Club Tijuana 8.25%
    Draw 16.37%
MonterreyDrawClub Tijuana
2-0 @ 14.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 12.66% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 11.01% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.8% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.7% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 6.29% (0.053 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.82% (0.019 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.87% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.75% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
6-0 @ 1.09% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 75.36%
1-1 @ 7.7% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 2.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 16.37%
0-1 @ 3.37% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-2 @ 2.34% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.03% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 8.25%

Head to Head
Aug 29, 2022 3.05am
Tijuana
0-3
Monterrey

Contreras (21')
Flores (38')
Berterame (61'), Aguirre (73' pen.), Martinez (90+5')
Aguirre (23')
May 1, 2022 1.06am
Monterrey
2-0
Tijuana
Meza (17'), Janssen (80')

Rivera (21'), Lopez (78')
Aug 28, 2021 3.06am
Tijuana
2-2
Monterrey
Lorona (40'), Manotas (82')
Pavez (45+6'), Lorona (67'), Tercero (79')
Funes Mori (18'), Rodriguez (37')
Medina (32'), Funes Mori (33'), Meza (75')
Feb 28, 2021 11pm
Monterrey
1-1
Tijuana
Meza (40')
Vegas (90+1')
Manotas (89')
Rivera (33'), Jara (64')
Sep 5, 2020 3.06am
Tijuana
2-1
Monterrey
Castillo (3', 54')
Lainez (8')