Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 67.16%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 13.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Santos Laguna win it was 0-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.