Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jul 1, 2023 at 4.10am UK
Estadio Caliente

Tijuana
2 - 3
Pumas

Madrigal (45+4', 45+4'), Gonzalez (48', 48')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Rivas (25', 25'), Dinenno (70' pen., 70' pen.), Salvio (89', 89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and Pumas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Tijuana

All competitions
Last Game: Puebla 5-2 Tijuana
Sunday, April 30 at 12am in Liga MX
Next Game: Necaxa vs. Tijuana
Monday, July 10 at 12am in Liga MX

Pumas

All competitions
Last Game: Monterrey 4-1 Pumas
Sunday, April 30 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Next Game: Pumas vs. Mazatlan
Sunday, July 9 at 7pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Pumas win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Club TijuanaDrawPumas
46.2% (-0.29 -0.29)25.63% (0.033000000000001 0.03)28.17% (0.26 0.26)
Both teams to score 52.5% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.91% (0.015000000000001 0.02)51.09% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.06% (0.015000000000001 0.02)72.95% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (-0.124 -0.12)22.1% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.54% (-0.19 -0.19)55.46% (0.193 0.19)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.39% (0.208 0.21)32.61% (-0.204 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.85% (0.231 0.23)69.15% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Club Tijuana 46.2%
    Pumas 28.17%
    Draw 25.63%
Club TijuanaDrawPumas
1-0 @ 10.88% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.21% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 46.2%
1-1 @ 12.19% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.21% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 8.08% (0.041 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.83% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.53% (0.049 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.55% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 28.17%

How you voted: Tijuana vs Pumas

Club Tijuana
42.9%
Draw
42.9%
Pumas
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 3.05am
Gameweek 4
Tijuana
0-0
Pumas
Jul 3, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 1
Pumas
1-1
Tijuana
Diogo (51')
Lopez (68'), Del Prete (68'), Meritao (78'), Aldrete (87'), J (90+5')
Rodriguez (10' pen.)
Diaz (82'), Montecinos (90')
Feb 6, 2022 3.06am
Gameweek 4
Tijuana
1-0
Pumas
Alvarez (45'), Meritao (79'), Ortiz (87')
Oct 24, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 15
Pumas
3-1
Tijuana
Ortiz (45'), Dinenno (47'), Alvarez (56')
Meritao (18'), Lopez (34'), Mozo (84')
Lorona (66')
Rivera (31')
Jan 9, 2021 3.06am
Gameweek 1
Tijuana
0-0
Pumas