Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Apr 15, 2023 at 4.05am UK
Estadio de Mazatlan

Mazatlan
1 - 2
Tijuana

Montano (25'), Diaz (25' og.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Canelo (14' pen., 81' pen.)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Mazatlan and Club Tijuana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tigres 1-2 Mazatlan
Sunday, April 9 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 1-2 Queretaro
Saturday, April 8 at 4.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
MazatlanDrawClub Tijuana
45.06% (0.148 0.15)26.88% (0.004999999999999 0)28.05% (-0.151 -0.15)
Both teams to score 48.66% (-0.106 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.98% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)56.02% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.89% (-0.073 -0.07)77.11% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.23% (0.033999999999992 0.03)24.77% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.67% (0.046999999999997 0.05)59.33% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.68% (-0.167 -0.17)35.32% (0.171 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.92% (-0.176 -0.18)72.08% (0.17899999999999 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Mazatlan 45.06%
    Club Tijuana 28.05%
    Draw 26.88%
MazatlanDrawClub Tijuana
1-0 @ 12.2% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.52% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.13% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.96% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 45.06%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 8.75% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 9.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.61% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.74% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 28.05%

How you voted: Mazatlan vs Tijuana

Mazatlan
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Club Tijuana
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2022 3.05am
Tijuana
2-0
Mazatlan
Vargas (55' og.), Guzman (73')
Lertora (65'), Lopez (79'), Diaz (80')

Sanchez (16'), Vargas (33'), (82')
Feb 12, 2022 1am
Mazatlan
2-0
Tijuana
Benedetti (43'), Meraz (88')
Nogueira (14'), Rubio (82')

Tercero (39'), Rodriguez (57'), Montecinos (90+2')
Sep 25, 2021 3.06am
Tijuana
0-0
Mazatlan

Martinez (38'), Yanez (47')
Apr 12, 2021 3.06am
Tijuana
2-3
Mazatlan
Manotas (5'), Martinez (22' pen.)
Lorona (57'), Jara (80'), Ruiz (89'), Castillo (90')
Sanvezzo (45+1' pen., 66'), Rangel (90+1')
Daniel Gutierrez Hernandez (19'), Ortiz (62'), Millar (88')
Sep 10, 2020 3am
Mazatlan
1-0
Tijuana
Huerta (8')
Huerta (38'), Sansores (54'), Velarde (80')
Perez (87')

Cortizo (18'), Aguilar (21'), Rivera (31'), Castillo (42')
Aguilar (26')