Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.