Liga MX | Gameweek 17

Apr 30, 2023 at 12am UK

Estadio Cuauhtémoc

Puebla
5 - 2
Tijuana

Mancuello (13'), de Buen (32'), Martinez (55', 61'), Barragan (77' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-1)

Mancuello (25' og.), Romero (68')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Club Tijuana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Puebla

All competitions

Last Game: Tigres 1-0 Puebla
Friday, April 21 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Club Tijuana

All competitions

Last Game: Tijuana 0-0 Club Leon
Saturday, April 22 at 4.05am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puebla would win this match.

Result
Puebla	Draw	Club Tijuana
43.06% ( -0.03)	26.06% ( 0.09)	30.89% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 52.7% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.46% (

-0.36)

51.54% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.66% (

-0.31)

73.34% (

0.32)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.23% (

-0.17)

23.78% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.07% (

-0.25)

57.93% (

0.25)

Club Tijuana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.14% (

-0.21)

30.87% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.85% (

-0.25)

67.15% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Puebla 43.06%

Club Tijuana 30.89%

Draw 26.05%

Puebla	Draw	Club Tijuana
1-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 43.06%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 30.89%