Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 4am UK
Estadio Olimpico de Universitario

Pumas
1 - 1
Toluca

Huerta (24', 24')
Huerta (81'), Huerta (81'), Alcala (90+10'), Gutierrez (90+14'), Trigos (90+5'), Caicedo (90+5'), Alcala (90+10'), Gutierrez (90+14'), Trigos (90+5'), Caicedo (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Dominguez (15', 15')
Baeza (38'), Baeza (38'), Belmonte (81'), Belmonte (81'), Pinuelas (90+7'), Pinuelas (90+7')
Pinuelas (90+10'), Pinuelas (90+10')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pumas and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pumas

All competitions
Last Game: Pachuca 1-1 Pumas
Monday, July 17 at 3.15am in Liga MX

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Toluca 2-4 Juarez
Sunday, July 16 at 7pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
PumasDrawToluca
43.24% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)24.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)32.73% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 60.36% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.11% (0.026000000000003 0.03)41.89% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.7% (0.024000000000001 0.02)64.3% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4%19.6% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)51.54% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.08% (0.027999999999992 0.03)24.92% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.45% (0.037000000000006 0.04)59.55% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Pumas 43.24%
    Toluca 32.73%
    Draw 24.03%
PumasDrawToluca
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 7.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 3.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.99% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 43.24%
1-1 @ 11.06%
2-2 @ 6.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.03%
1-2 @ 7.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 6.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.18% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 32.73%

Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 15
Pumas
3-1
Toluca
Dinenno (1'), Huerta (38'), Salvio (44' pen.)
Gonzalez (31' pen.)
Sep 11, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 14
Toluca
2-2
Pumas
Jan 11, 2022 3am
Gameweek 1
Pumas
5-0
Toluca
Rogerio (31', 64'), Diogo (61'), Ruvalcaba (69'), Meritao (81')
Diogo (59'), Ortiz (75'), Talavera (77')

Rodriguez (38'), Sartiaguin (53')
Nov 21, 2021 11pm
Toluca
1-2
Pumas
Ortega (62' pen.)
Sambueza (2'), Estrada (23'), Garcia (83'), Chavez (90+6')
Lopez (16'), Dinenno (50')
Diogo (21'), Lopez (31'), Lira (34'), Dinenno (82'), Ortiz (85'), Corozo (90+8')
Aug 29, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 7
Toluca
2-1
Pumas
Sambueza (20'), Canelo (70')
Lopez (15'), Rigonato Rodrigues (68'), Canelo (72'), Garcia (83')
Dinenno (8' pen.)
Garcia Hernandez (56'), Lopez (56')
Mozo (15'), Garcia Hernandez (75'), Dinenno (90+7')