Liga MX | Gameweek 7
Sep 2, 2023 at 2.06am UK
Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez

Juarez
3 - 1
Mazatlan

Valoyes (13', 13'), Garcia (34', 34'), Hurtado (60', 60')
Valoyes (58'), Valoyes (58'), Santos (80'), Santos (80')
FT(HT: 4-2)
Colman (45+8', 45+8')
Diaz (54'), Diaz (54'), Intriago (70'), Intriago (70')
Diaz (83'), Diaz (83')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Juarez and Mazatlan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Puebla 1-0 Juarez
Saturday, August 26 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 1-1 Mazatlan
Saturday, August 26 at 4.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 51.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 23.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juarez would win this match.

Result
JuarezDrawMazatlan
51.57% (-0.52 -0.52)24.57% (0.12 0.12)23.86% (0.399 0.4)
Both teams to score 51.97% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.05% (-0.124 -0.12)49.94% (0.124 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.07% (-0.111 -0.11)71.93% (0.11 0.11)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.64% (-0.254 -0.25)19.35% (0.254 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.86% (-0.417 -0.42)51.14% (0.416 0.42)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.44% (0.291 0.29)35.56% (-0.29199999999999 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.67% (0.3 0.3)72.32% (-0.301 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Juarez 51.57%
    Mazatlan 23.86%
    Draw 24.56%
JuarezDrawMazatlan
1-0 @ 11.3% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.28% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.25% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.08% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.16% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 51.57%
1-1 @ 11.68% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.88% (0.034 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.56%
0-1 @ 7.12% (0.091 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.077 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.68% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 23.86%

Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3.05am
Gameweek 5
Mazatlan
2-3
Juarez
Garcia (14'), Molina (69')
Aug 21, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 10
Juarez
1-1
Mazatlan
Fernandez (48')
Garcia (78'), Fernandez (85'), Velazquez (90')
Silvera (14')
Sanchez (11')
Vidrio (74'), Intriago (87'), Colman (90+1')
Apr 23, 2022 3am
Gameweek 16
Juarez
0-2
Mazatlan
Esquivel (40')
Fabian (15'), Alanis (82'), Rubio (85')
Sep 29, 2021 1am
Gameweek 11
Mazatlan
3-1
Juarez
Garcia (8' og.), Sanvezzo (36'), Colula (69')
Amador (23'), Antonio Padilla (24'), Zavala (82'), Freitas (84')
Raul (77')
Olivera (29'), Castillo (63')
Feb 20, 2021 3.30am
Gameweek 6
Juarez
1-0
Mazatlan
Lezcano (53')
Iniestra (70')

Vidrio (68')