Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 50.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.55%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 1-0 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.