Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jul 15, 2023 at 2am UK
Estadio de Mazatlan (Mazatlan)

Mazatlan
0 - 3
Monterrey

FT(HT: 0-0)
Rojas (51', 51', 77', 77'), Berterame (89', 89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Liga MX clash between Mazatlan and Monterrey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pumas 0-0 Mazatlan
Sunday, July 9 at 7pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 1-0 Atlas
Monday, July 10 at 2am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 50.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 24.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.55%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 1-0 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
MazatlanDrawMonterrey
24.09% (-0.364 -0.36)25.66% (0.064 0.06)50.25% (0.303 0.3)
Both teams to score 48.96% (-0.54799999999999 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.97% (-0.538 -0.54)54.03% (0.54 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.53% (-0.454 -0.45)75.46% (0.456 0.46)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.4% (-0.625 -0.63)37.6% (0.627 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.62% (-0.618 -0.62)74.38% (0.62 0.62)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.47% (-0.091000000000008 -0.09)21.53% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.4% (-0.141 -0.14)54.59% (0.142 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Mazatlan 24.09%
    Monterrey 50.25%
    Draw 25.66%
MazatlanDrawMonterrey
1-0 @ 7.92% (0.032 0.03)
2-1 @ 5.95% (-0.095 -0.09)
2-0 @ 3.87% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.94% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.26% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 24.09%
1-1 @ 12.16% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.1% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 12.43% (0.23 0.23)
0-2 @ 9.55% (0.148 0.15)
1-2 @ 9.34% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.89% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.78% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.88% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.84% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 50.25%

How you voted: Mazatlan vs Monterrey

Mazatlan
14.3%
Draw
7.1%
Monterrey
78.6%
14
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 2.05am
Sep 4, 2022 1.05am
Mar 12, 2022 3.06am
Gameweek 10
Monterrey
2-1
Mazatlan
Janssen (22'), Meza (80'), Vegas (90+9')
Diaz (57'), Intriago (86'), Sansores (88')
Diaz (90+2')
Aug 7, 2021 1am
Gameweek 3
Mazatlan
1-1
Monterrey
Vargas (28'), Vidrio (47'), Sanvezzo (74')
Vegas (24'), Villarreal Lozano (36'), Meza (66')
Villarreal Lozano (54'), Zapata (90+1')
May 2, 2021 3.06am
Gameweek 15
Monterrey
1-0
Mazatlan
Janssen (45+3')
Amador (9'), Perez (88'), Ortiz (90+2')
Augusto (68')
rhs 2.0


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