Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Jul 10, 2023 at 2am UK
Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium

Monterrey
1 - 0
Atlas

Medina (11', 11')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Atlas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monterrey

All competitions
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 1-1 Monterrey
Sunday, July 2 at 12am in Liga MX

Atlas

All competitions
Last Game: Atlas 2-0 Cruz Azul
Sunday, July 2 at 4.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 54.22%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Atlas had a probability of 20.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for an Atlas win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monterrey in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Monterrey.

Result
MonterreyDrawAtlas
54.22% (0.157 0.16)24.96% (0.114 0.11)20.83% (-0.271 -0.27)
Both teams to score 47.12% (-0.693 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.53% (-0.722 -0.72)54.47% (0.721 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.17% (-0.604 -0.6)75.83% (0.604 0.6)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.94% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)20.06% (0.221 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.71% (-0.355 -0.35)52.29% (0.355 0.35)
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.95% (-0.702 -0.7)41.06% (0.702 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.4% (-0.628 -0.63)77.6% (0.628 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Monterrey 54.21%
    Atlas 20.83%
    Draw 24.95%
MonterreyDrawAtlas
1-0 @ 13.23% (0.28 0.28)
2-0 @ 10.62% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.69% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.07% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.29% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 54.21%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.24% (0.229 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.21% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 7.33% (0.066 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.24% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.26% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 20.83%

How you voted: Monterrey vs Atlas

Monterrey
66.7%
Draw
22.2%
Atlas
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2023 3.05am
Gameweek 6
Atlas
0-2
Monterrey
Funes Mori (60'), Gonzalez (63')
Sep 18, 2022 1.05am
Gameweek 15
Monterrey
2-0
Atlas
Apr 21, 2022 3.06am
Gameweek 15
Monterrey
0-0
Atlas
Ortiz (65')
Torres (55'), Troyansky (64')
Nov 28, 2021 3.05am
Atlas
1-1
Monterrey
Furch (18' pen.)
Angulo (49'), Rocha (84')
Gonzalez (73')
Funes Mori (89')
Nov 25, 2021 3.05am
Monterrey
0-0
Atlas
Meza (26'), Gallardo (32')
Reyes (30')