Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 73.23%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 10.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 3-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Santos Laguna win it was 0-1 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Monterrey in this match.