Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Queretaro win it was 1-2 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.