Liga MX | 1st Leg
May 12, 2023 at 2am UK
Jalisco

Atlas
1 - 0
Guadalajara

Quinones (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atlas and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlas

All competitions
Last Game: Cruz Azul 0-1 Atlas
Sunday, May 7 at 12am in Liga MX

CD Guadalajara

All competitions
Last Game: Guadalajara 4-1 Mazatlan
Sunday, April 30 at 2.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atlas in this match.

Result
AtlasDrawCD Guadalajara
41.22% (-0.374 -0.37)27.11% (0.229 0.23)31.67% (0.143 0.14)
Both teams to score 49.75% (-0.643 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.54% (-0.84200000000001 -0.84)55.46% (0.84 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.35% (-0.696 -0.7)76.65% (0.69300000000001 0.69)
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.51% (-0.587 -0.59)26.48% (0.582 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.33% (-0.784 -0.78)61.67% (0.781 0.78)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68% (-0.333 -0.33)32.32% (0.332 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.18% (-0.376 -0.38)68.82% (0.374 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Atlas 41.21%
    CD Guadalajara 31.67%
    Draw 27.1%
AtlasDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 11.37% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 41.21%
1-1 @ 12.84% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 8.56% (0.275 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 9.67% (0.224 0.22)
1-2 @ 7.25% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.46% (0.078 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.06% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 31.67%

Head to Head
Apr 2, 2023 4.10am
gameweek 13
Atlas
3-3
Guadalajara
Quinones (33', 57'), Herrera (45+2')
Quinones (36'), Vargas (45+4'), Abella (45+4'), Barbosa (54'), Zaldivar (83'), Lozano (90+2'), Reyes (90+7')
Alvarado (4'), Cisneros (31'), Vega (55')
Orozco (36'), Sepulveda (40'), Cisneros (42'), Vega (57'), Alvarado (66')
Aug 14, 2022 3.05am
gameweek 8
Guadalajara
1-1
Atlas
Cisneros (84')
Sanchez (62')
Ponce (38')
Quinones (63')
Chala (19'), Santamaria (34'), Zaldivar (45+1'), Aguilera (87')
Reyes (9')
May 16, 2022 12am
Atlas
1-1
Guadalajara
Chala (45+5')
Chala (19'), Rocha (30'), Vargas (42'), Zaldivar (55'), Aguilera (90+1')
Marquez (70')
Juan Macias (90')
Flores (21')
May 13, 2022 3.05am
Guadalajara
1-2
Atlas
Calderon (54')
Ponce (89')
Marquez (28', 44')
Mar 21, 2022 1am
gameweek 11
Atlas
1-1
Guadalajara
Quinones (90+1')
Rocha (45+8'), Nervo (50'), Herrera (80')
Torres (45+8'), Quinones (90+2')
Alvarado (66')
Briseno (43'), Vega (45+8'), Flores (90+4')