Liga MX | Gameweek 17

Apr 30, 2023 at 2.05am UK

Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
4 - 1
Mazatlan

Alfonso Guzman Guzman (12'), Vega (21'), Beltran (56'), Brizuela (75')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Montano (23')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Mazatlan.

Form, Standings, Stats

CD Guadalajara

All competitions

Last Game: Guadalajara 2-1 Cruz Azul
Sunday, April 23 at 2.05am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Mazatlan

All competitions

Last Game: Mazatlan 0-2 Monterrey
Saturday, April 22 at 2.05am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 66.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 13.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
CD Guadalajara	Draw	Mazatlan
66.9% ( -0.03)	19.64% ( -0.04)	13.46% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 48.57% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.23% (

0.31)

44.76% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.88% (

0.3)

67.12% (

-0.3)

CD Guadalajara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.55% (

0.09)

12.45% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.62% (

0.18)

38.38% (

-0.18)

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.47% (

0.29)

44.53% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.45% (

0.23)

80.55% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

CD Guadalajara 66.89%

Mazatlan 13.46%

Draw 19.64%

CD Guadalajara	Draw	Mazatlan
2-0 @ 12.03% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.35% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.15% Total : 66.89%	1-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.82% Total : 19.64%	0-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.3% Total : 13.46%