Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 66.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 13.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.