Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puebla would win this match.