Liga MX | Gameweek 6

Aug 26, 2023 at 2am UK

Estadio Cuauhtemoc

Puebla
1 - 0
Juarez

de Buen (20', 20')
Velasco (14'), Velasco (14'), Barragan (59'), Barragan (59'), Ivan Rodriguez (88'), Ivan Rodriguez (88'), de Buen (90+8'), de Buen (90+8')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Saucedo (33'), Saucedo (33'), Hurtado (57'), Hurtado (57'), Mosquera (61'), Mosquera (61'), Garcia (86'), Garcia (86')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Juarez.

Form, Standings, Stats

Puebla

All competitions

Last Game: Mazatlan 1-0 Puebla
Wednesday, August 23 at 2am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Juarez

All competitions

Last Game: Juarez 4-1 Pumas
Wednesday, August 23 at 4.06am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puebla would win this match.

Result
Puebla	Draw	Juarez
41.97% ( 0.02)	24.71% ( -0.09)	33.32% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 58.12% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.09% (

0.45)

44.91% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.73% (

0.43)

67.27% (

-0.43)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.56% (

0.2)

21.44% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.55% (

0.31)

54.45% (

-0.3)

Juarez Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.98% (

0.26)

26.02% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.95% (

0.35)

61.05% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

Puebla 41.97%

Juarez 33.32%

Draw 24.71%

Puebla	Draw	Juarez
2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.56% Total : 41.97%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.71%	1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 33.32%