Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 65.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 13.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.51%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.