Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.