Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jul 16, 2023 at 2am UK
Estadio Azteca

America
3 - 0
Puebla

Alvarez (35', 35'), Suarez (45+2', 45+2'), Quinones (87', 87')
FT(HT: 4-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Liga MX clash between Club America and Puebla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: America 1-2 Juarez
Saturday, July 1 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 2-3 Santos Laguna
Saturday, July 8 at 2am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 64.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 15.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club AmericaDrawPuebla
64.19% (-0.45 -0.45)20.44% (0.145 0.15)15.37% (0.308 0.31)
Both teams to score 50.88% (0.26000000000001 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.76% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)44.24% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.38% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)66.62% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.93% (-0.14 -0.14)13.06% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.35% (-0.28700000000001 -0.29)39.65% (0.289 0.29)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.53% (0.39400000000001 0.39)41.47% (-0.39 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.02% (0.342 0.34)77.97% (-0.33999999999999 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Club America 64.19%
    Puebla 15.37%
    Draw 20.44%
Club AmericaDrawPuebla
2-0 @ 11.22% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-0 @ 11.02% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.61% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-1 @ 6.7% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.87% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.41% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.58% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 64.19%
1-1 @ 9.71% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.42% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 20.44%
0-1 @ 4.77% (0.058 0.06)
1-2 @ 4.27% (0.075 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.1% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.25% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 15.37%

How you voted: America vs Puebla

Club America
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
Puebla
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2023 1.10am
Gameweek 3
America
2-2
Puebla
Oct 16, 2022 2.06am
America
5-1
Puebla
Rodriguez (21'), Martin (27'), Martinez (50'), Fidalgo (61'), Layun (85' pen.)
Araujo (35')
Oct 13, 2022 1.06am
Puebla
1-6
America
Cortizo (14')
Valdes (31'), Martin (33', 57')
Oct 1, 2022 1am
Gameweek 17
Puebla
1-2
America
May 15, 2022 12am
America
3-2
Puebla
Zendejas (33')
Araujo (29'), Segovia (34'), Silva (56'), Salas (88')
rhs 2.0


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