Liga MX | 2nd Leg
May 22, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Azteca

America
1 - 3
Guadalajara

Valdes (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cisneros (19'), Mozo (76'), Orozco (88')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club America and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club America

All competitions
Last Game: Guadalajara 0-1 America
Friday, May 19 at 3.10am in Liga MX

CD Guadalajara

All competitions
Last Game: Guadalajara 0-1 America
Friday, May 19 at 3.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 60.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a CD Guadalajara win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Club AmericaDrawCD Guadalajara
60.71% (1.473 1.47)21.48% (-0.521 -0.52)17.81% (-0.953 -0.95)
Both teams to score 52.74% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.57% (0.782 0.78)44.43% (-0.782 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.2% (0.753 0.75)66.8% (-0.753 -0.75)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.83% (0.724 0.72)14.17% (-0.724 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.14% (1.396 1.4)41.86% (-1.395 -1.4)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.45% (-0.617 -0.62)38.55% (0.617 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.71% (-0.591 -0.59)75.3% (0.592 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Club America 60.7%
    CD Guadalajara 17.81%
    Draw 21.48%
Club AmericaDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 10.67% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 10.42% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.79% (0.291 0.29)
3-1 @ 6.48% (0.173 0.17)
4-0 @ 3.32% (0.223 0.22)
4-1 @ 3.16% (0.163 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.09% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.053 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.118 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.24% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 60.7%
1-1 @ 10.17% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-0 @ 5.46% (-0.187 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.48%
0-1 @ 5.21% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-2 @ 4.85% (-0.205 -0.21)
0-2 @ 2.48% (-0.173 -0.17)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 17.81%

Head to Head
May 19, 2023 3.10am
Guadalajara
0-1
America

Orozco (52'), Beltran (62'), Sanchez (89')
Zendejas (60')
Reyes (57')
Mar 19, 2023 3.10am
gameweek 12
Guadalajara
2-4
America
Lara (62' og.), Flores (72')
Vega (46'), Calderon (90')
Alfonso Guzman Guzman (90+7')
Rodriguez (16', 38'), Suarez (42'), Martin (53')
Suarez (4'), Martin (55'), Zendejas (90')
Sep 18, 2022 2am
gameweek 15
America
2-1
Guadalajara
Martin (4' pen.), Zendejas (51')
Calderon (62')
Vega (23')
Mar 13, 2022 3am
gameweek 10
Guadalajara
0-0
America

Mier (22'), Briseno (70'), Zaldivar (82')

dos Santos (25')
dos Santos (51')
Sep 26, 2021 3am
gameweek 10
America
0-0
Guadalajara

Martin (45+1')

Ponce (45+1'), Vega (68')