Liga MX | 1st Leg
May 19, 2023 at 3.10am UK
Estadio Akron

Guadalajara
0 - 1
America

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Club America.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guadalajara 1-0 Atlas
Monday, May 15 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 1-2 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, May 14 at 4.16am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 49.49%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Club America in this match.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawClub America
26.49% (-0.76 -0.76)24.02% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)49.49% (0.83 0.83)
Both teams to score 56.39% (-0.418 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.65% (-0.252 -0.25)45.35% (0.252 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.31% (-0.241 -0.24)67.69% (0.24000000000001 0.24)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.11% (-0.711 -0.71)30.89% (0.71 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.82% (-0.842 -0.84)67.17% (0.84 0.84)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.6% (0.232 0.23)18.4% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.45% (0.392 0.39)49.55% (-0.392 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 26.49%
    Club America 49.49%
    Draw 24.01%
CD GuadalajaraDrawClub America
1-0 @ 6.68% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.64% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-0 @ 3.92% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-1 @ 2.6% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 26.49%
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.68% (0.061 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.01%
0-1 @ 9.62% (0.173 0.17)
1-2 @ 9.57% (0.057 0.06)
0-2 @ 8.14% (0.206 0.21)
1-3 @ 5.4% (0.072 0.07)
0-3 @ 4.6% (0.149 0.15)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.29% (0.047 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.95% (0.077 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 49.49%

Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 3.10am
gameweek 12
Guadalajara
2-4
America
Lara (62' og.), Flores (72')
Vega (46'), Calderon (90')
Alfonso Guzman Guzman (90+7')
Rodriguez (16', 38'), Suarez (42'), Martin (53')
Suarez (4'), Martin (55'), Zendejas (90')
Sep 18, 2022 2am
gameweek 15
America
2-1
Guadalajara
Martin (4' pen.), Zendejas (51')
Calderon (62')
Vega (23')
Mar 13, 2022 3am
gameweek 10
Guadalajara
0-0
America

Mier (22'), Briseno (70'), Zaldivar (82')

dos Santos (25')
dos Santos (51')
Sep 26, 2021 3am
gameweek 10
America
0-0
Guadalajara

Martin (45+1')

Ponce (45+1'), Vega (68')
Mar 15, 2021 2am
gameweek 10
Guadalajara
0-3
America

Briseno (17')
Ponce (73')
Martin (45', 75'), Cordova (79')
Sanchez (36'), Cordova (80')