Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.