Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jul 16, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramirez

Atletico San Luis
4 - 1
Queretaro

Chavez (31', 31'), Vitinho (45', 45'), Dominguez (53', 53'), Bilbao (69', 69' pen.)
FT(HT: 4-2)
Sepulveda (17', 17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Liga MX clash between Atletico San Luis and Queretaro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Santos Laguna 0-2 Queretaro
Monday, July 3 at 2.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico San Luis win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico San Luis would win this match.

Result
Atletico San LuisDrawQueretaro
41.5% (-0.067 -0.07)26.58% (0.026 0.03)31.91% (0.044 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.44% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.65% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)53.34% (0.089000000000006 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.11% (-0.073 -0.07)74.89% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Atletico San Luis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)25.37% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.84% (-0.101 -0.1)60.16% (0.103 0.1)
Queretaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.93% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)31.07% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.61% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)67.39% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atletico San Luis 41.5%
    Queretaro 31.91%
    Draw 26.58%
Atletico San LuisDrawQueretaro
1-0 @ 10.81% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.42% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 41.5%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.88% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 9.21% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.39% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.38% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 31.91%

Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 1.05am
Gameweek 11
Atletico San Luis
2-0
Queretaro
Villalpando (47'), Vitinho (90+7')
Aug 12, 2022 3am
Mar 18, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 11
Queretaro
2-1
Atletico San Luis
Sepulveda (61' pen.), Sequeira (77')
Martinez (15'), Cristante (27'), Mendoza (40')
Bilbao (68' pen.)
Jardine (27'), Juarez (41'), Diaz (45')
Juarez (72')
Aug 3, 2021 3am
Gameweek 2
Atletico San Luis
1-1
Queretaro
Rivaldo Lozano Silva (3')
Chavez (23')
Sosa (62')
Mar 15, 2021 12am
Gameweek 10
Queretaro
2-1
Atletico San Luis
Sepulveda (42'), Valencia (51'), Montero (63'), Silveira (77'), Villegas (90+3')
Escalante (58')
rhs 2.0


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