Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Jul 9, 2023 at 1.05am UK
Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
3 - 1
Atletico San Luis

Padilla (38', 38'), Beltran (40', 40'), Cisneros (80', 80')
FT(HT: 4-2)
Bilbao (45+7' pen., 45+7' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Atletico San Luis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CD Guadalajara

All competitions
Last Game: Club Leon 1-2 Guadalajara
Tuesday, July 4 at 3am in Liga MX

Atletico San Luis

All competitions
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 1-1 Monterrey
Sunday, July 2 at 12am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 18.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for an Atletico San Luis win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawAtletico San Luis
58.87% (0.042000000000002 0.04)22.5% (0.050999999999998 0.05)18.63% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 50.99% (-0.323 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.46% (-0.351 -0.35)47.55% (0.354 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.25% (-0.323 -0.32)69.75% (0.328 0.33)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.19% (-0.10600000000001 -0.11)15.81% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.03% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)44.97% (0.202 0.2)
Atletico San Luis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.56% (-0.304 -0.3)39.44% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.87% (-0.282 -0.28)76.13% (0.28699999999999 0.29)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 58.86%
    Atletico San Luis 18.63%
    Draw 22.5%
CD GuadalajaraDrawAtletico San Luis
1-0 @ 11.5% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 10.6% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.52% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.07% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.8% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 58.86%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.091 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.5%
0-1 @ 5.8% (0.037 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.98% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.7% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 18.63%

How you voted: Guadalajara vs Atletico San Luis

CD Guadalajara
71.4%
Draw
0.0%
Atletico San Luis
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 1.05am
Gameweek 2
Atletico San Luis
0-0
Guadalajara
Jul 10, 2022 1.05am
Gameweek 2
Guadalajara
0-1
Atletico San Luis
Mar 3, 2022 3am
Gameweek 8
Atletico San Luis
2-2
Guadalajara
Berterame (21'), Juarez (43')
Beltran (48'), Angulo (69')
Jimenez (79')
Jul 25, 2021 3am
Gameweek 1
Guadalajara
1-2
Atletico San Luis
Zaldivar (78' pen.)
Pinuelas (12'), Bareiro (65')
Jan 22, 2021 3am
Gameweek 2
Atletico San Luis
3-1
Guadalajara
Gonzalez (6'), Ibanez (27', 61' pen.)
Pinuelas (34'), Antonio Castro (45'), Ibanez (65'), Batallini (75')
Macias (68')
Sanchez (20'), Mier (65'), Briseno (70')