Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 68.65%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 13.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for an Atletico San Luis win it was 0-1 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.