Liga MX | Gameweek 6
Aug 27, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
0 - 1
Queretaro


Martinez (13'), Batista (58'), Arce (70'), Mendez (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sepulveda (51')
Tapia (3'), Lertora (17'), Gomez (55'), Sepulveda (61')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Queretaro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: America 3-2 Necaxa
Thursday, August 24 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 1-1 Pachuca
Monday, August 21 at 2.06am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queretaro win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Queretaro in this match.

Result
NecaxaDrawQueretaro
36.09% (-0.40199999999999 -0.4)26.51% (-0.16 -0.16)37.4% (0.563 0.56)
Both teams to score 52.52% (0.514 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.65% (0.658 0.66)52.34% (-0.65799999999999 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.97% (0.562 0.56)74.03% (-0.562 -0.56)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09% (0.074999999999989 0.07)27.91% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.47% (0.095999999999997 0.1)63.53% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Queretaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.85% (0.63900000000001 0.64)27.14% (-0.638 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.46% (0.825 0.82)62.54% (-0.825 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 36.09%
    Queretaro 37.4%
    Draw 26.5%
NecaxaDrawQueretaro
1-0 @ 9.67% (-0.234 -0.23)
2-1 @ 8.05% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.17% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-1 @ 3.42% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.63% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 36.09%
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.58% (-0.199 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.074 0.07)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 9.88% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.099 0.1)
0-2 @ 6.44% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.57% (0.106 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.8% (0.078 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.072 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.055 0.05)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 37.4%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 1.05am
Gameweek 9
Necaxa
1-1
Queretaro
Batallini (45+4')
Rivera (81')
Jul 10, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 2
Queretaro
1-2
Necaxa
Barrera (31')
Martinez (55')
Gimenez (23', 83')
Esquivel (33')
Mar 12, 2022 1am
Gameweek 10
Necaxa
1-0
Queretaro
Romagnoli (79')
Sep 13, 2021 1am
Gameweek 8
Queretaro
3-0
Necaxa
Madrigal (34'), Mendoza (53'), Aguerre (85')
Formiliano (52'), Aguirre (69')
Apr 17, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 13
Necaxa
0-0
Queretaro