Liga MX | Gameweek 5

Aug 24, 2023 at 2am UK

Estadio Azteca

America
3 - 2
Necaxa

Valdes (24', 24'), Rodriguez (31', 31'), Quinones (61', 61')
Lara (66'), Lara (66'), Alvarez (90+5'), Alvarez (90+5')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Batista (3', 3', 56', 56')
Colorado (10'), Colorado (10'), Poggi (66'), Poggi (66')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club America and Necaxa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club America

All competitions

Last Game: America 1-1 Atlas
Monday, August 21 at 4.10am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Necaxa

All competitions

Last Game: Necaxa 0-3 Tigres
Monday, August 21 at 4.10am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 63.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 15.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club America	Draw	Necaxa
63.37% ( 0.01)	21.09% ( -0.03)	15.54% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 49.18% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.28% (

0.14)

46.72% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.02% (

0.14)

68.98% (

-0.13)

Club America Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.91% (

0.05)

14.09% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.3% (

0.09)

41.7% (

-0.09)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.25% (

0.11)

42.75% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.92% (

0.1)

79.08% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Club America 63.36%

Necaxa 15.54%

Draw 21.09%

Club America	Draw	Necaxa
1-0 @ 11.8% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 11.56% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.7% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 63.36%	1-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.86% Total : 21.09%	0-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.17% 1-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.59% Total : 15.54%