Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Aug 21, 2023 at 4.10am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
Tigres

Necaxa
0 - 3
Tigres


Montes (20'), Montes (20'), Mantilla (32'), Mantilla (32'), Martinez (90'), Martinez (90')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Gignac (10', 10'), Angulo (68', 68'), Quinones (80', 80')
Gignac (13'), Gignac (13'), Samir (34'), Samir (34')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Tigres.

Form, Standings, Stats

Necaxa

All competitions
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-0 Necaxa
Friday, July 14 at 4am in Liga MX
Next Game: America vs. Necaxa
Thursday, August 24 at 2am in Liga MX

Tigres

All competitions
Last Game: Tigres 1-0 Club Leon
Sunday, July 16 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Next Game: Pumas vs. Tigres
Monday, August 28 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 50.66%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 23.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Necaxa win it was 1-0 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.

Result
NecaxaDrawTigres
23.38% (-0.035 -0.04)25.96% (0.408 0.41)50.66% (-0.374 -0.37)
Both teams to score 47.39% (-1.195 -1.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.28% (-1.549 -1.55)55.71% (1.547 1.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.14% (-1.279 -1.28)76.86% (1.278 1.28)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.79% (-0.901 -0.9)39.2% (0.9 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.08% (-0.853 -0.85)75.91% (0.851 0.85)
Tigres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.95% (-0.79900000000001 -0.8)22.05% (0.797 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.61% (-1.221 -1.22)55.38% (1.219 1.22)
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 23.38%
    Tigres 50.65%
    Draw 25.95%
NecaxaDrawTigres
1-0 @ 8.09% (0.283 0.28)
2-1 @ 5.73% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-0 @ 3.79% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.79% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.35% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.18% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 23.38%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 8.64% (0.504 0.5)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 13.06% (0.46 0.46)
0-2 @ 9.88% (0.117 0.12)
1-2 @ 9.25% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-3 @ 4.98% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.66% (-0.174 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.88% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.76% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 50.65%

Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 1.05am
Gameweek 10
Necaxa
0-1
Tigres
Gorriaran (42')
Oct 9, 2022 1am
Tigres
2-0
Necaxa
Aug 28, 2022 1.05am
Gameweek 11
Tigres
0-0
Necaxa
Angulo (79')
Araos (22'), Esquivel (71'), Malagon (74')
Apr 20, 2022 1am
Gameweek 15
Necaxa
2-0
Tigres
Gimenez (46'), Formiliano (81')
Oct 4, 2021 1am
Gameweek 12
Tigres
0-0
Necaxa