Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jul 14, 2023 at 4am UK
Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
2 - 0
Necaxa

Beltran (24', 24'), Jesus Brigido Chen (84'), Brigido (84')
Mozo (37')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Batista (45'), Gonzalez (60'), Rodriguez (75')
Dudamel (45+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Necaxa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Tijuana
Saturday, July 8 at 4am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 20.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for CD Guadalajara in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for CD Guadalajara.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawNecaxa
54.74% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)25.21% (-0.004999999999999 -0)20.05% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 45.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.77% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)56.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.73% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)77.27% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.45% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)20.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)53.07% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.1% (0.00099999999999767 0)42.9% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.79%79.21% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 54.73%
    Necaxa 20.05%
    Draw 25.21%
CD GuadalajaraDrawNecaxa
1-0 @ 13.95%
2-0 @ 11.03%
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 54.73%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 8.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 20.05%

How you voted: Guadalajara vs Necaxa

CD Guadalajara
90.3%
Draw
9.7%
Necaxa
0.0%
31
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 12am
Aug 20, 2022 1am
Apr 30, 2022 1am
Gameweek 17
Necaxa
0-1
Guadalajara

Madrigal (34'), Gimenez (60'), Gonzalez (90+4')
Ponce (89')
Perez Bouquet (4')
Aug 28, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 7
Guadalajara
2-1
Necaxa
Brizuela (43'), Zaldivar (90+12' pen.)
Vega (23'), Molina (47'), Mayorga (89')
Arcadio Garcia Banuelos (54')
Oliveros (90+8'), Meza (90+10')
Feb 14, 2021 1am
Gameweek 5
Guadalajara
2-2
Necaxa
Dominguez (66'), Gonzalez (74'), Barragan (90+3')
rhs 2.0


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