Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Necaxa.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 49.18%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 24.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CD Guadalajara | Draw | Necaxa |
| 49.18% | 25.98% | 24.83% |
| Both teams to score 48.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.34% | 54.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.01% | 75.99% |
| CD Guadalajara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.74% | 22.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.3% | 55.7% |
| Necaxa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.72% | 37.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.93% | 74.06% |
| Score Analysis |
CD Guadalajara 49.17%
Necaxa 24.83%
Draw 25.98%
| CD Guadalajara | Draw | Necaxa |
| 1-0 @ 12.46% 2-0 @ 9.37% 2-1 @ 9.24% 3-0 @ 4.69% 3-1 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-0 @ 1.76% 4-1 @ 1.74% Other @ 3% Total : 49.17% | 1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 8.3% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.19% 1-2 @ 6.07% 0-2 @ 4.04% 1-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.72% Total : 24.83% |


