Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Aug 21, 2023 at 2.06am UK
Estadio La Corregidora

Queretaro
1 - 1
Pachuca

Sepulveda (40', 40')
Gomez (59'), Gomez (59'), Manzanarez (61'), Manzanarez (61'), Montecinos (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)
de la Rosa (51', 51')
Almada (60'), Almada (60'), Cabral (82'), Cabral (82'), Barreto (90+3'), Barreto (90+3')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Queretaro and Pachuca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pachuca 1-1 Pumas
Monday, July 17 at 3.15am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 52.15%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
QueretaroDrawPachuca
24.34% (-0.934 -0.93)23.51% (-0.472 -0.47)52.15% (1.401 1.4)
Both teams to score 55.89% (0.564 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.99% (1.209 1.21)45.01% (-1.213 -1.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.64% (1.151 1.15)67.36% (-1.155 -1.16)
Queretaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.55% (-0.124 -0.12)32.44% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.03% (-0.138 -0.14)68.96% (0.133 0.13)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.73% (0.979 0.98)17.26% (-0.983 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.41% (1.696 1.7)47.58% (-1.701 -1.7)
Score Analysis
    Queretaro 24.34%
    Pachuca 52.15%
    Draw 23.51%
QueretaroDrawPachuca
1-0 @ 6.3% (-0.356 -0.36)
2-1 @ 6.23% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-0 @ 3.55% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-1 @ 2.34% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.33% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 24.34%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.297 -0.3)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.51%
0-1 @ 9.84% (-0.192 -0.19)
1-2 @ 9.73% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 8.64% (0.106 0.11)
1-3 @ 5.7% (0.23 0.23)
0-3 @ 5.06% (0.22 0.22)
2-3 @ 3.21% (0.12 0.12)
1-4 @ 2.5% (0.176 0.18)
0-4 @ 2.22% (0.163 0.16)
2-4 @ 1.41% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 52.15%

Head to Head
May 1, 2023 12am
Gameweek 17
Queretaro
0-1
Pachuca
Arango (26' pen.)
Jul 5, 2022 3am
Gameweek 1
Pachuca
2-0
Queretaro
Ibanez (25')

Martinez (40'), Lopez (89')
Feb 15, 2022 3am
Gameweek 5
Pachuca
2-2
Queretaro
Vera (29'), Martinez (39'), Hernandez (66')
Aug 23, 2021 3am
Gameweek 6
Queretaro
0-2
Pachuca
Cabral (20'), Chavez (76')
Feb 5, 2021 3am
Gameweek 4
Queretaro
3-1
Pachuca
Madrigal (26'), Valencia (29'), Ramirez (58')
Magallanes (80' og.)