Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.

Result
Club Leon	Draw	Pachuca
41.73% ( 1.49)	25.06% ( -0.21)	33.21% ( -1.28)

Both teams to score 56.88% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.48% (

0.65)

46.52% (

-0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.21% (

0.61)

68.8% (

-0.6)

Club Leon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.76% (

1.02)

22.24% (

-1.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.33% (

1.51)

55.67% (

-1.5)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.14% (

-0.46)

26.86% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.84% (

-0.61)

62.17% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

Club Leon 41.73%

Pachuca 33.21%

Draw 25.06%

Club Leon	Draw	Pachuca
1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.34% Total : 41.73%	1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.06%	0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.1% Total : 33.21%