Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Puebla in this match.