Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Oct 1, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Hidalgo

Pachuca
1 - 1
Necaxa

Gonzalez (13', 13')
Castillo (52'), Castillo (52'), Gonzalez (68'), Gonzalez (68'), Di Yorio (78'), Di Yorio (78'), Cabral (80'), Cabral (81')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Arce (20', 20')
Batista (27'), Batista (27'), Rodriguez (54'), Rodriguez (54'), Garnica (61'), Garnica (61'), Omar Cortes Alvarez (71'), Omar Cortes Alvarez (71'), Cortez (75'), Cortez (75')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Necaxa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guadalajara 0-0 Pachuca
Sunday, September 24 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 2-5 Necaxa
Monday, September 25 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 59.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 18.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
PachucaDrawNecaxa
59.16% (-0.35 -0.35)21.84% (0.076000000000001 0.08)18.99% (0.273 0.27)
Both teams to score 53.75% (0.246 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.82% (0.085000000000001 0.09)44.17% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.44% (0.083000000000006 0.08)66.55% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.43% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)14.57% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.36% (-0.157 -0.16)42.64% (0.156 0.16)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.92% (0.34699999999999 0.35)37.07% (-0.349 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.14% (0.345 0.34)73.86% (-0.34599999999999 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Pachuca 59.16%
    Necaxa 18.99%
    Draw 21.84%
PachucaDrawNecaxa
1-0 @ 10.4% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 10.02% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 6.43% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.1% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.19% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 59.16%
1-1 @ 10.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.4% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.046 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.84%
0-1 @ 5.36% (0.03 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.12% (0.062 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.66% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.69% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 18.99%

Head to Head
Jan 30, 2023 1am
Gameweek 4
Pachuca
2-1
Necaxa
Jul 28, 2022 1am
Gameweek 5
Necaxa
2-0
Pachuca
Garnica (34'), Gimenez (48')
Garnica (26'), Villalpando (33'), Gimenez (40'), Garcia (45+2'), Oliveros (66')

Ibarra (45'), Cabral (66')
Feb 5, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 4
Necaxa
1-3
Pachuca
Batista (90+1')
Guede (9'), Gonzalez (45+2'), Medina (73'), Dominguez (79')
Ibarra (4'), Hurtado (10'), Ibanez (75' pen.)
Chavez (29'), Cabral (40'), Ibanez (58'), Gonzalez (85')
Sanchez (22'), Quintana (30')
Sep 24, 2021 3am
Gameweek 10
Pachuca
1-0
Necaxa
Hurtado (15')
Hurtado (30'), Hernandez (75')

Meza (44'), Poggi (67'), Formiliano (90+3')
Mar 5, 2021 1am
Gameweek 8
Necaxa
2-2
Pachuca