Liga MX | Gameweek 8
Sep 19, 2023 at 4am UK
Estadio Hidalgo

Pachuca
3 - 2
Santos Laguna

Hinestroza (45+2', 45+2'), Gonzalez (69', 69'), Hernandez (90+2', 90+2')
Rodriguez (14'), Rodriguez (14'), Hinestroza (21'), Hinestroza (21'), Almada (73'), Almada (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Brunetta (56', 56'), Torres (90+5', 90+4')
Doria (17'), Doria (17'), Preciado (80'), Preciado (80'), Brunetta (90+8'), Brunetta (90+8')
Correa (90+7'), Correa (90+7')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Santos Laguna.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toluca 5-0 Pachuca
Sunday, September 3 at 7pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 2-1 Pumas
Sunday, September 3 at 2am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 51.93%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 25.03% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.

Result
PachucaDrawSantos Laguna
51.93% (0.515 0.52)23.04% (-0.11 -0.11)25.03% (-0.409 -0.41)
Both teams to score 58.27% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.79% (0.122 0.12)42.21% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.38% (0.124 0.12)64.61% (-0.127 -0.13)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.68% (0.23099999999999 0.23)16.31% (-0.234 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.11% (0.418 0.42)45.89% (-0.419 -0.42)
Santos Laguna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.63% (-0.259 -0.26)30.37% (0.256 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.44% (-0.308 -0.31)66.56% (0.306 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Pachuca 51.93%
    Santos Laguna 25.03%
    Draw 23.03%
PachucaDrawSantos Laguna
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.98% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.14% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.87% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.92% (0.087 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.66% (0.049 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.23% (0.056 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.96% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 51.93%
1-1 @ 10.7% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.03%
1-2 @ 6.38% (-0.077000000000001 -0.08)
0-1 @ 5.9% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.52% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3%
Total : 25.03%

Head to Head
May 7, 2023 2.10am
Pachuca
4-4
Santos Laguna
Santos Laguna win 4-2 on penalties
Apr 10, 2023 1.05am
Sep 3, 2022 11.05pm
Gameweek 12
Pachuca
2-0
Santos Laguna
Ibanez (54'), Lopez (77')
Alvarez (22'), Alfonso Guzman Guzman (34'), Murillo (36'), Luna (66')

Correa (20'), Rodriguez (80')
Correa (86')
Apr 4, 2022 1am
Gameweek 12
Santos Laguna
3-1
Pachuca
Lozano (42' pen.), Preciado (51'), Carrillo (75')
Ibanez (82')
Oct 17, 2021 1.05am