Liga MX | Gameweek 7

Sep 3, 2023 at 7pm UK

Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
5 - 0
Pachuca

Volpi (26' pen.), Araujo (29'), Dominguez (53'), Raul (57', 63')
Venegas (68')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Rodriguez (18'), Almada (19'), Moreno (24')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Pachuca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions

Last Game: Toluca 1-0 Monterrey
Thursday, August 31 at 2am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Pachuca

All competitions

Last Game: Pachuca 0-2 Atletico San Luis
Tuesday, August 29 at 4.10am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 41%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.49%) and 0-2 (5.48%). The likeliest Toluca win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Pachuca
35.86% ( 1.79)	23.13% ( -0.56)	41% ( -1.23)

Both teams to score 64.6% (

2.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.27% (

3.18)

36.73% (

-3.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.11% (

3.37)

58.89% (

-3.37)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.19% (

2.41)

20.81% (

-2.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.53% (

3.65)

53.47% (

-3.65)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.57% (

0.79)

18.43% (

-0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.41% (

1.32)

49.59% (

-1.32)

Score Analysis

Toluca 35.86%

Pachuca 41.01%

Draw 23.14%

Toluca	Draw	Pachuca
2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.5) 2-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.36) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.39) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.25) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.94% Total : 35.86%	1-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.56) 2-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.63) 3-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.26) Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.14%	1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.87) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.58) 1-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.25) 1-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.7% Total : 41.01%