Liga MX | Gameweek 5

Aug 31, 2023 at 2am UK

Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
1 - 0
Monterrey

Dominguez (26', 26')
Garcia (9'), Garcia (9')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Vegas (30'), Vegas (31'), Gallardo (90+6'), Meza (90+5'), Gallardo (90+6'), Meza (90+5')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Monterrey.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions

Last Game: Atlas 0-0 Toluca
Sunday, August 27 at 12am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Monterrey

All competitions

Last Game: Monterrey 1-2 Cruz Azul
Monday, August 28 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Toluca win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Monterrey
34.48% ( -0.02)	24.17% ( -0)	41.35% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 60.4% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.92% (

42.08% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.51% (

64.49% (

-0)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.99% (

-0.01)

24% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.74% (

-0.01)

58.25% (

0.01)

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.47% (

0.01)

20.52% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.97% (

0.02)

53.03% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Toluca 34.48%

Monterrey 41.35%

Draw 24.17%

Toluca	Draw	Monterrey
2-1 @ 7.94% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.03% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.02% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.99% 3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 34.48%	1-1 @ 11.13% 2-2 @ 6.29% 0-0 @ 4.93% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.17%	1-2 @ 8.82% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 41.35%