Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 25.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.